ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Joe Klein - Call Your Office

In this ridiculous piece on Time.com, Joe Klein claims that Obama and Hillary!TM are moderates:

[...]
This has become an odd campaign for Democrats. There is good news ... and fear. The good news is that this time the people seem far more interested in their party than in the Republicans. On Super Tuesday, at least 15,417,521 voted Democratic, and 9,181,297 voted Republican. And more good news: both Obama and Clinton are very good candidates who hold similar positions on most issues, moderates who intend to reach out to Republicans after they are elected
[...]

If I recall, Obama was to the left of Bernie Sanders, Socialist-VT. Obama is the most leftist Senator in the country and he's viewed by Joe Klein as a moderate.

If this is the type of analysis for which Time.com is paying good money, it's no wonder that the MSM is rapidly losing audience.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler

Mitt Leaves and an Analysis of McCain's Prospects

Video of Mitt's speech at CPAC where he announced that he's suspsending is campaign is located here. Text of the important part here:

I disagree with Senator McCain on a number of issues, as you know. But I agree with him on doing whatever it takes to be successful in Iraq, on finding and executing Osama bin Laden, and on eliminating Al Qaeda and terror. If I fight on in my campaign, all the way to the convention, I would forestall the launch of a national campaign and make it more likely that Senator Clinton or Obama would win. And in this time of war, I simply cannot let my campaign, be a part of aiding a surrender to terror.

This is not an easy decision for me. I hate to lose. My family, my friends and our supporters... many of you right here in this room... have given a great deal to get me where I have a shot at becoming President. If this were only about me, I would go on. But I entered this race because I love America, and because I love America, I feel I must now stand aside, for our party and for our country.
[...]

It looks like McCain now has a lock, barring a Huckabee resurgence.


Frankly, I don't think McCain is the strongest candidate to face HillaryTM or the youthful and energized Obama, but the deal may be done.

McCain's biggest weakness?


No, it's not his maverick attacks on conservative principles in pursuit of favorable press.

His biggest weakness is his biggest strength: his stance in the War On Terror.

And unfortunately, the country is not with McCain or the GOP in recognizing that it is the transcendental struggle of our time.

As Rove often pointed out, the best way to attack your opponent is to turn his strength against him (as he did with Kerry's war record in 2004).

His leadership on the Surge is great - but it only really counted back in 2007. By the end of 2008, the Surge will either be a monumental success or a monumental failure.

Either way, it will be difficult for him to run on a strategy which is no longer necessary.

Just as the Brits ousted Chamberlain Churchill after World War II, McCain is unlikely to increase his support because he was right on an issue back in 2007. [ed - Thanks to Monterey John on the correction. Not sure what I was thinking!]

If things continue to go well, the electorate's response will be "Thanks.... Great Job. Now we can worry about (the economy, health care, etc, etc)".

McCain has no strong case to make regarding these issues and will have trouble debating them with conservative, free-market principles because he rarely relies on them - he more often relies on what's best for John "The Maverick" McCain.

If Iraq goes up in flames, the electorate's response will be "You're to blame... it's time for a change."

These are just my personal thoughts, 9 months out from the election. Things certainly can change. But, it's difficult to see how a septuagenarian can compete against a inspiring campaign from Obama (even if Obama's trying to inspire us to become serfs to the federal government).

*** UPDATE ***
The Wall Street Journal has more on Mitt leaving the race here. They also report that Huckabee is fighting on:
[...]
The Huckabee campaign said the former Arkansas governor would push on.

"We're still in the race and we're still competing for delegates, and today demonstrates how long and windy to the White House this is," said Chip Saltsman, Mr. Huckabee's campaign manager.
Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler

The Maverick Relies on Party Loyalty

I'll provide analysis of McCain's poor general election chances in a separate post, but wanted to make this initial comment.

Right Wing Nut House has this excellent (parody) of McCain's speech at CPAC today:

SPEECH FOR THE CONSERVATIVE RABBLE AT CPAC===

My fellow conservatives. (Duck)

My thanks for that warm greeting. I was unaware that the salad portion of the meal would be delivered in such a unique manner although someone should talk to the chef about the freshness of the produce in his kitchen.

I would like to thank all of you for your generous support of my campaign. (Hit the dirt.) For those of you who may not see eye to eye with me on an issue or two, allow me to explain why you are wrong and I am right.

I am always right. It doesn’t really matter why, although I could bring up my many years of experience and the fact that the New York Times agrees with me so often. What matters is that you forget about all the differences we’ve had and simply go to the polls next November and vote for me. (Try not to sneer.)
[...]
Of course, there are varying degrees of conservatism. I’m from the “Maverick Conservative” wing of the party. This is the wing of conservatism that believes anything the New York Times, the Washington Post, and the news nets will praise me for is probably conservative enough. If it’s not, tough. If you think I’m going to change my position on an issue and get the media upset with me, you’re dreaming.

The Maverick Conservative wing of the party – both of us – want to be clear that we support many of the same issues that you “movement” conservatives support. All we ask is that you ignore us when we thumb our noses at you. You can’t expect us to maintain our status as “Mavericks” with the media without deliberately undercutting your agenda while hinting what barbarians you truly are. Therefore, I ask that you simply accept us for who we are.

And calling us “self aggrandizing media whores who care more for pleasing our liberal friends than in working to enact conservative legislation” may be accurate but please – keep it to yourselves.

We can do great things together – as long as you just shut up and vote for me. After all, if it’s between me and Hillary, are you really going to let the Democrats win in November by staying at home? (Try not to look too smug.) And let me remind you. As the man who has single handedly turned the Iraq War around by my invention of “The Surge,” electing a Democrat will probably mean bringing our troops home too quickly and leaving Iraq in the lurch.

I also saw this comment at NRO's Corner:
My wife and I both have decided to become “maverick” voters. We’re voting Republican for House and Senate but abstaining from voting for President.
Which points to the following:

McCain, the MaverickTM, has eschewed party loyalty on many issues and has received much praise from the MSM for doing so. Now, The MaverickTM and his supporters expect party loyalty to deliver him to the White House.

And I made this comparison to (fellow conspirator) Brian the other day... I like McCain''s biography, his position on many issues, etc. I am closer to McCain on creating a legal guest worker program than the base of my party.

However, political parties are like football teams and the problem with McCain is that he is the Terrell Owens of the Republican Party.

More often than not, you'll catch McCain in a pre-game press conference or in the locker-room after the game, attacking not the other team, but his fellow teammates and coach.

It's great press and generates a lot of drama, but you shouldn't be too surprised when the offensive line doesn't block for the guy in the big game.

Michelle Malkin is covering CPAC here.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler