ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Friday, April 18, 2008

Obamessiah No More?

Good article by David Brooks in the New York Times. This information has got to trouble the Dems - and especially the superdelegates:

It was inevitable that the period of “Yes We Can!” deification would come to an end. It was not inevitable that Obama would now look so vulnerable. He’ll win the nomination, but in a matchup against John McCain, [Obama] is behind in Florida, Missouri and Ohio, and merely tied in must-win states like Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. A generic Democrat now beats a generic Republican by 13 points, but Obama is trailing his own party. One in five Democrats say they would vote for McCain over Obama.

20% of Democrats will vote for McCain?

Yeah, I'd say that's approximately the sane portion of the party that's suffering from Bush Derangement Syndrome. It probably also correlates to the number of elderly Dems who voted for Ike when they were 18, Reagan when they were 46, etc. They have little in common with the breathless, Truther paranoia of the moonbat-o-sphere which seems to use Obama as the sock puppet that he is.

General election voters are different from primary voters. Among them, Obama is lagging among seniors and men.
And we know that McCain won't appeal to the old-timers, what with his incessant talk of "Duty, Honor, Country and prune juice."
Instead of winning over white high school-educated voters who are tired of Bush and conventional politics, he does worse than previous nominees. John Judis and Ruy Teixeira have estimated a Democrat has to win 45 percent of such voters to take the White House. I’ve asked several of the most skillful Democratic politicians over the past few weeks, and they all think that’s going to be hard.

It looks like Operation Chaos is working as expected.

I love it when a plan comes together.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler

Comments (2)
Jason said...

"the sane portion" Typo, you forgot the "in"

St Wendeler said...

Jason - I think it's probably an 80/20 split, with 80% being completely and totally insane.

The other 20% are sane enough to consider voting for McCain.