ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Illegal Immigration - Are Rove & Bush Correct?

Larry Kudlow has this post on the GOP's position on enforcement-only for illegal immigration and the political impact it could have on the 2008 election. It would seem that Bush & Rove's understanding of the politics of immigration may be more accurate than many on the Right would like to admit:

A GOP Recipe for Electoral Disaster

In an exhaustively researched survey of 145 precincts and 175,000 votes, Richard Nadler of America’s Majority Foundation concludes that when Republicans talk about enforcement-only, deportation, and criminalization of illegal immigrants they get slammed politically.

According to Mr. Nadler, “Policies that induce mass fear in illegal aliens induce mass anger in legal aliens because of ties of family culture and a shared media communication.”

Because of the predominant Republican Party attitude of enforcement-only, the study indicates that Democrats will capture New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, Florida and Iowa in the upcoming presidential contest.

Mr. Nadler goes on to say that Republicans who support comprehensive immigration reform run almost even with Democrats.

Any discussion of mass deportation or criminalization is a disaster.

This is tough stuff. GOP: Be warned.

Regular readers of this blog will recognize that I am a fan of the guest worker program, given a variety of assumptions are proven accurate (such as the ability of a government bureaucracy to process & track who's applying to be a guest worker and where they are within the country).

I sympathize with those that don't want to reward those who entered illegally with some sort of legal status. But, as some blogger put it, "they're here, they framed your house... get over it."

I'm not a nativist... although I do believe in establishing English as the official language, primarily to insure that the economy continues to hum along with its existing English framework. I do believe that illegals caught committing a crime should be deported. I don't believe in sanctuary zones.

But, I do believe in a guest worker program as long as it is enforced through a no-access border and a identification system which cannot be forged. Whatever it takes.

I think that I'm probably not with the majority of the GOP on this issue - but I assume that many of my assumptions and caveats would find some sympathy with those who are enforcement-only types. I support legal immigration; I just think we should have more of it and think that a guest worker program (properly implemented) is a necessary solution.

2008 could be a very difficult year for the GOP if we do not begin to provide pragmatic solutions for the pressing problems of the 21st century.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler