ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

Next Illinois Governor Wins Republican Primary

Does Blago even have a chance? He's such a dork.

Judy Baar Topinka wins GOP primary
Wednesday, Mar. 22 2006

CHICAGO (AP) -- Judy Baar Topinka, the favorite of the Republican Party
establishment, defeated a conservative outsider to win a shot at knocking off
Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich this fall.

Blagojevich had no trouble winning his own primary, but the challenger's
strong showing suggests weaknesses that may trouble Blagojevich in the general
Topinka, a social moderate and three-term state treasurer, will face Democratic
Gov. Rod Blagojevich in what is forecast to be a stormy general election Nov.
7. Blagojevich easily dispensed with little-known challenger Edwin Eisendrath
in his party's primary Tuesday, setting up the first Illinois gubernatorial
race between two proven statewide vote-getters in more than a decade.

Of course, this is Illinois, so anything can happen. But, here is the last poll on the race (pre-primary results, so probably not worth much):
Illinois Governor: Topinka (R) Leads Blagojevich (D)

February 7, 2006--State Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka (R) leads Governor Rod Blagojevich in an early look at the 2006 campaign for Governor of Illinois.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Topinka with 48% of the vote while the incumbent Governor attracts 37%.

Blagojevich does better against two other potential challengers. Blagojevich is tied with Ron Gidwitz at 40%. The Governor holds a very slight lead over Jim Oberweis, 43% to 39%.

None of the candidates are viewed favorably by 50% or more of Illinois voters. Blagojevich and Topinka have far higher name recognition than the other candidates.

Topinka is viewed favorably by 46% of voters and unfavorably by 30%. For Blagojevich, it's 40% favorable and 49% unfavorable. For Gidwitz and Oberweis, a plurality don't know enough about them to have an opinion.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: St Wendeler