ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

All I want for Fitzmas....

The left is abuzz with Steve Clemon's latest at the Washington Note detailing indictments:

Indictments Coming Tomorrow; Targets Received Letters Today

An uber-insider source has just reported the following to TWN (since confirmed by another independent source):

1. 1-5 indictments are being issued. The source feels that it will be towards the higher end.

2. The targets of indictment have already received their letters.

3. The indictments will be sealed indictments and "filed" tomorrow.

4. A press conference is being scheduled for Thursday.

The shoe is dropping.

More soon.

Unless his "uber-insider" is Patrick Fitzgerald I would take this all with a grain of salt. That being said, the comments go out into la-la land. They assume that the 5 include Libby, Rove, Cheney, Bolton, and possibly the President himself, despite the Constituational issues that obviously brings up.

Here then comes my predictions:
  • Rove? No indictment.
  • Libby? 50/50, but only if there's something Fitz knows that we haven't seen yet.
  • Fleischer? Possible, but doubtful.
  • Tenet? Not likely
  • Cheney? Bush? LOL not in a million years.
  • Hadley (NSA advisor)? 50/50
  • Harlow (CIA press spokesman)? Not likely
  • Colin Powell? Wouldnt that be interesting? Probably not though.
  • Bolton? No... If Bolton were liable to be indicted he never would have been fought so hard for UN amabassador.
Now how about the press?
  • Russert (NBC)? No
  • Miller (NYT)? No
  • Pincus (WaPo)? No
  • Corn (The Nation)? 10% just to keep things interesting
CIA cabal? If the left can guess at the President, I can guess at Wilson, et. al.
  • Wilson? 50/50 What did Fitz call him for on the 29th?
  • Plame? 25% Maybe less
*** Update ***
Tom Maguire at JustOneMinute is the expert on this bar none. His latest post is his predictions . I have to say I pretty much agree with him. Libby could be indicted. Tradesports is running 80% for a Libby indictment.

If you've got several hundred hours, just keep scrolling through Tom's archives in the comments. You'll see more analysis (and more neutral at that! -ed) than you'll ever see in the New York Times, or the Washington Post.

**************

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: Brian

Comments (5)
Brian said...

Course now that I stuck my neck out with predictions, its likely Rove, Libby, Cheney, Laura Bush, and the President will all be indicted. ;-)

What about the other conspirators? Place your guesses here so we all know who was the smartest when its all over.

AF_Vet said...

I tend to agree with your predictions.

We already know if indictments come down, it's not Rove, as his lawyer had already been told that his client isn't a target:

http://www.talkshowamerica.com/2005/07/prosecutor-karl-rove-not-target-of.html

So, that's at least one lump of coal in the Libs' collective stocking.

St Wendeler said...

And you know that the moment that Rove is not indicted, the DUers and Kossacks will cry foul, attacking Fitzgerald as a partisan in a Rovian coverup.

My guess is that there will be a handful of indictments (<5) with Libby being the largest figure under indictment.

All of the indictments will be for perjury or obstruction of justice. Unfortunately for the Left, they've lost their ability to argue that such actions are crimes and they'll be confused when the Right says "Yeah, let's try the bastards!"

Regards,
St Wendeler

Brian said...

I really don't know. I harken back to the Lewinsky sagam, and all the leaks we were hearing out of the grand jury room and "secret" FBI testimony and the like. Including the "sour mood" at the White House, but when the Starr Report was released, it didnt' match up with the leaks.

There was talk of cocaine on the dress remember. That was just balderdash.

Conventional wisdom says that Libby is in trouble for perjury, but then again, Conventional wisdom is that Wilson's trip to Niger debunked the 16 words which it did nothing of the sort.

One thing that I am really hoping for is that we don't get an extension of the GJ and sealed indictments.

What will we do if Fitzmas doesn't come? What will the Left do?

St Wendeler said...

Barone thinks that there won't be any indictments, and I'd be tickled if that would be the case. Not because our master wouldn't have to give us instructions from behind bars, but because of the absolute froth that this would generate with the Left.

For years Fitzgerald has not been attacked by the Right and it'd be great to see the Left turn on him in a second.

Regards,
St Wendeler