ARC's 1st Law: As a "progressive" online discussion grows longer, the probability of a nefarious reference to Karl Rove approaches one

Wednesday, July 13, 2005

Perhaps Kyoto could have prevented this?

Welllllllll... (in the immortal words of Frank O'Pinion)

The picture to the right is of El Capitan in Yosemite Park in central California. Guess what formed this famed geologic structure? Right! Glaciers. Talk about global warming, where did the glacier go? What did George Bush have to do with the disappearance of the glacier? Could Kyoto have "saved" the glacier?

I make the point simply to state the obvious, global warming is nothing new. Nor is global cooling anything new. The glaciers came from somewhere in the first place. There are forces at work on the earth that just could be more powerful than man.

My sense of intellectual curiosity is offended by the absence of any discussion of broader trends when "global warming" is discussed. Without context, the facts put out for public consumption have no meaning. A half degree rise in the ambient air temperature in New York is without meaning without discussion of the fact that there are now 16 million people in that area who were not there two hundred years ago. There is no meaning without comparing what that local increase means in the context of a wider area. There is no meaning if there is no discussion of whether there have been any drops in temperature elsewhere on earth. There is no meaning without discussion of whether there have been cyclic changes in the earth's temperature over long periods of time and then asking whether its is nature or man that is causing any current changes. In short, there is one hell of a lot of bad science out there, and I for one am tired of hearing it.

None of this is to say man does not impact the environment. The question is how much? Is it a negative impact? Are there positive impacts? At what cost can we reduce negative impacts if any? Is it worth it? Is it too much to ask for a cost/benfit analysis?

Memo to the scientific community: Gentlemen, please, give this a real scientific effort and come back to us when you are done and have asked all the reasonable questions.

Political correctness rather than science is driving this discussion. No one, including President Bush, has the courage to come out and say this is all bunk. Someone needs to show some real courage. Not one more cent for Kyoto, or anything like it, until there is real scientific evidence to support the conclusion that its provisions will have positive impact on the environment.

Your Co-Conspirator,
ARC: Monterey John